Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.334295 0.388447 0.445490 0.509768 0.579901 0.653829 0.737376
2025-01-05 0.252617 0.325721 0.407735 0.505405 0.617419 0.740805 0.885924
2025-01-12 0.195545 0.279362 0.379207 0.504170 0.653724 0.824492 1.031752
2025-01-19 0.158291 0.249583 0.364572 0.514937 0.701483 0.920818 1.193704
2025-01-26 0.131710 0.228372 0.356627 0.531003 0.754100 1.022859 1.364013
2025-02-02 0.110592 0.210624 0.350132 0.546693 0.805123 1.123035 1.533479
2025-02-09 0.088018 0.186511 0.331603 0.543851 0.830754 1.191112 1.664106
2025-02-16 0.073223 0.171477 0.323573 0.553417 0.871435 1.277761 1.818254
2025-02-23 0.058350 0.153205 0.308294 0.550863 0.894627 1.341473 1.943779
2025-03-02 0.042700 0.129735 0.281873 0.529547 0.890163 1.367899 2.021157
2025-03-09 0.034847 0.119290 0.274807 0.535660 0.922976 1.443052 2.161393
2025-03-16 0.026076 0.104307 0.258075 0.525352 0.931333 1.484920 2.258257
2025-03-23 0.022628 0.100898 0.261563 0.547275 0.987472 1.593426 2.445775
2025-03-30 0.017370 0.091124 0.252202 0.547786 1.011998 1.659095 2.577614
2025-04-06 0.013229 0.082633 0.244048 0.549417 1.037771 1.726553 2.712459
2025-04-13 0.010733 0.078055 0.242950 0.562527 1.080838 1.818460 2.881000
2025-04-20 0.008971 0.075149 0.244836 0.580563 1.131542 1.921529 3.065484
2025-04-27 0.007426 0.072260 0.246344 0.597794 1.181175 2.023592 3.249547
2025-05-04 0.005212 0.064926 0.237052 0.595118 1.199399 2.080978 3.373063
2025-05-11 0.003981 0.061106 0.235158 0.605467 1.238076 2.167890 3.537678
2025-05-18 0.002622 0.054897 0.226619 0.602869 1.255746 2.224457 3.660785
2025-05-25 0.001260 0.045488 0.208276 0.580297 1.240063 2.231796 3.715246
2025-06-01 0.000797 0.042199 0.205239 0.586828 1.271769 2.308666 3.867070